Korea want the nucleon not to need the stomach? Suspect China reveals the nuclear secret

Korea notify IMO of, second engine of rocket fall outside more than 3,600 kilometers ' 2 such as Milk Way ' that launch April. The farthest range that American, South Korean and Japanese are inferred after comprehensive analysis at this point, ' big Pu hole the 2nd ' reaches 8,000 kilometers. The west thinks, Korea costs several ten million dollars to develop the intercontinental missile; In the disaster that more than 8 million people go hungry, the authorities of Pyongyang really want the nucleon not to need the stomach?

Made ' big Pu hole in Korea the 2nd ' how much spent? South Koreans analyze from 30 million dollars to several hundred million dollars. Korea launches to East China Sea for one ' big Pu hole and the 2nd ' guided missile and six " fleet-footed runner, reed hole " in July of two or six years At the guided missile, South Korean military infers about 63,690,000 dollars altogether of expenses. The export price of a scud missile is 2,500,000 to 4 million dollars, " The hole of the reed " Have more expensive guided missiles, ' heavy 2 such as hole Pu ' guided missile want 30 million to be about. By inference, launch ' heavy the 1st such as hole Pu ' cost 20 million dollars 1998. May launch ' heavy 2 such as hole Pu ' improve than the global performance of guided missile three years ago this time, the South Korean policy organization expert estimates: ' develop and make " heavy hole 2 No. Pu " launch body might cost 65 million. '

South Korea plan, launch No., KSLV1 of body, cost more than 500 billion Han Huan together on first domestic universe that July launch ' 360 million dollars) ,Including buying mother missile,etc. from Russia with 200 million dollars. If South Korea researches and develops independently may be one time expensive. In this case, blockaded Korea punished by world for a long time, it must be ' the fee of little slow difference ' to develop the long-range missile secretly. The relevant persons in charge of South Korean government say: ' consider the characteristic of Korea's socialist system, should spend than South Korea littly, but development expense sources of long-range missile such as the necessary logarithm " big Pu hole No. 2 " at ten million dollars,etc. track that investigates. '

The west helps the whereabouts and tracks too to the grain of Korea that investigates. Special announcer cheats and fluffies the human rights issue in Korea of the United Nations redly for March 16 and says, after Korea determined to accept U.S.A. to offer 500,000 tons of grain to help directly, indirectly last June, have already accepted 170,000 tons. Korea refused the American grain to help suddenly recently, drove five NGOs distributing the grain in Korea away, it may be around controlling the contradiction upgrading that the grain distributed because of both sides. The west suspects Kim Jong-il diverts the grain ration of victim of the disaster in the military or government, Korea does not certainly allow foreigners to meddle in the grain that relieve the people in stricken areas to release. " starve the thing littly, the disloyal thing is great " .

The west always complains that produces the transparency of lacking in the country together, suspect China researches and develops the atomic bomb and spends money being few than U.S.A. independently. Therefore infer Korea costs several a hundred million dollars to develop the intercontinental missile. Questions are just more than 20 billion towards GDP in the north, military spending is only more than ten hundred million dollars, people's grain ration money is not enough to make nuclear bomb either. Suspect simply China or Russia reveals the nuclear secret.

There is no companion volume of the head in China: <>

See " " this book, that react in the brain out is that that cartoon fashionable for a time that year " has no head and unhappy " at once if China is unhappy, this can't blame us, the person coming over from that era, should remember this film.

The same memory had a book which is named " China can say no ", can be regarded as and become a bestseller for the moment too those years, the first author of the two is all Song Qiang. What regarding that book is written - -My characters title has already been explained, later on this " unhappy " If it is the companion volume, originally personages have been basically clear if a corresponding one has been that cartoon ago.

It is a taboo to write the book review and does not write the content, it is completely a taboo too to write and turn merely into a drama. Then,it is be cursory say say what meanings these books is roughly. It doesn't very take a lot of explaining to in fact say, are all a model in this way: Nowadays I have been already prosperous and powerful for the awkward way expression by arriving passionately, can say angrily " No " This word, that said was " no " that one was monosyllabic last time ,The one that said is three words this time " Unhappy " ,Although one attitude, with many syllable is a bit fewer and resolute and decisive, is some tone of acting like a child. The question is that its subject is " China " Two words, will unavoidably let people think compatriots such as I,etc. were like this. If he or they themselves said crowing what accepts one while pretending to refuse mildly and indirectly and delicately but also let it be, preceded of name to go China, other Chinese seem, may say two too.

Can be regarded as a quite uncalm year in 08 that just passed, there are many but miscellaneous things, but to these authors, this is an expression " China " Unhappy era. Perhaps in their view, this is an omen coming one era for great outburst of nationalism, a generation of new young men have lifted this big flag again after the education of so much years, " can succeed " . Unhappy meaning may represent a kind of posture sense. You bully we originally, we can express one's own mood, but we want the mood thought was expressed own heart in canthus tip of the brow now. So has had Carrefour of resisting, protested CNN, and the other heroic undertakings of different forms.

In some theoreticians' view, through the so-called global and integrated one is economic and our purchasing power is promoted these years, add the populous advantage with abundant resources, and some it is said that will save the world cultural key element, can use " Unhappy " To do the form of detering. Chess match of international relations if it is really also to be so simple, we one unhappy, the submissive one like child bride of the other side is obeying us. Here under nationalism mood tempestuous, the other side was afraid, terrified from then on in other words, do not just do from now on " Injure Chinese people's emotion " Thing.

Pretty good meaning is, the result of the view history that study in so many years, has not found at all times this kind of attitude can be effective. Supplement China's ancient intelligence for these authors: It is diplomatic in China philosophy at all times building there aren't internal affairses bright,then not ten thousand country come just towards result. This unhappy kind of expressions is not among them.

Oh yes, talk about the words of this of the internal affairs, it is not involved that this book can't say either. But roughly mean we have already practised austerities very enough, everything seems to be so wonderful. Generally speaking, in every case praise one's own one in this world, are all the place for leaning against the table least. Look, our government does not say so now, always acknowledge we have weak points. The world most rich most calm, clean place none to that is to say not own too most, if you said so, did not know whether can be regarded as and praise holily or write something to make some spirit come out for oneself.

In fact spoken parts in an opera, this one timid proud book, heavy function to let people of heart one gas to pass through Changhong most, can full of noble aspiration and daring to know, can have, see, see one's own life state directly right away getting flat time not reading probably really.

But the flicker, this tone of Volkswagen, is still very important, " China can say that " bring up a gang of " and say the clan " ,Do not know whether can bring up a gang of this time " The unhappy clan " . Here is the multi-nationality country, a lot of clan nothing questions, just if this clan belongs to " has no head " The passing on of that way, I'm afraid that still really upset people very much.

Watch out for and is up to " Long live China " And then, the ceaselessly huge quantity of RMB is short-lived

March 22 electricity in Caracas of www.people.com.cn, " you are good that Venezuela president Chavez passes the 328th issue today, the president! " The program shows, China is a model of development, shout " long live great China " . Chavez broadcast directly to committee national television broadcasting tile that China undertake the construction of add railway starting ceremony make not described above to say then in scene. This news, " the national sense of pride " that it is estimated that will let The personage is extremely excited.

But Chavez also says, China has accumulated abundant experience in railway construction, China build the railway in Venezuela not only cooperation, help Venezuela to build railway construction goods and materials and locomotive, transfer relevant technology, it is the sincere cooperation. It is reported, the tile which China undertakes the construction of is added by 468 kilometers of total length of the railway then, will transport 9,900 million tons of goods every year in the two-way electric railway, transport 5,800,000 passengers. Will make important contribution for committee's Bolivar's socialist construction, food security. This railway would be run formally in 2012. Venezuela president Chavez declares in all solemnity on the 22nd, even Orgnaization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) Crude oil price fall until barrels every can have made revenue and expenditures financial unable to last equilibrium 55 dollar, Venezuela too, show that will seek financing from China actively.

Reuter claims, raise a large amount of fund at the political ally's place which can be made again in Venezuela - especially from China's financing, China lends a huge sum of money of 8 billion dollars of Venezuela to in one year of this year alone. Rodriguez, finance minister of Venezuela says on March 21, the government will continue expanding the financing source, hint Venezuela plans to raise to 5,600 million dollars from allies such as China or Russia,etc. while making the budget of 2009. Because the financial crisis influenced the oil price to slump, once there are analysts of Wall Street that thought because the government of Venezuela spent money being always wasteful before this, the oil price may cause the government and present the financial deficit while dropping.

Originally, Venezuela president Chavez shouted " long live great China " Behind, China material incentive. The low-priced one is shouted for a moment, the one that upset author is, Chinese ordinary people's money earned by hard toil, the person made policy fills in the bottomless pit of Chavez's regime continually. A few words low-priced shouting of Chavez, bring the ceaselessly gold and silver.

March 19, Lee Kuan Yew of Singapore national university public president of policy institute base Xiao Ma Herb in Britain " Financial Times " Qintar Publish article to entitled as " Asia capitalism leave western enlightenment ", economic performance to think China, so-called ones that are sorted out by ideology exactly" The capitalism " ,Just this kind of capitalism has special of Asia.

China remembers clearly to the disaster that socialist planned economy brings in Mao Zedong Times. Since 1979, China drew advantage from free market of the capitalism a lot: Improvement, effective use of national resource, considerable growth of wealth of the labor productivity, several hundred million people have got rid of the penniless state. Let us come to review history from the Chinese visual angle. Deng Xiaoping's reform and opening-up, make the Chinese people's life get unprecedented improvement.

But China implements the market economy time, there is a deep-rooted idea: Keep Du Hui steady in order. So, she does not remove the supervision of the financial market, it is extremely important that think instinctively the government supervises. Chinese leader realizes soberly, U.S.A. creates derived products ceaselessly but is putting up the plans or hopes that are unlikely to be realized. Zhu germanium advisor Gao Xiqing of base, former premier of Chinese, say if you think every financial derived product alone in 2000, they are all meaningful. But add up nothing is not; They are all rubbish, for deceiving people.

Chinese have gone through too much turbulence times, realize the importance of providing for a rainy day deeply, like the deposit, feel inconceivable about the life style that Americans are overdrawing constantly. They must establish one's own security mechanism and deal with the economic recession, so, after Asian financial storm, they accumulate 10 -year long foreign exchange reserve at the beginning; From the end of 1998 to the end of 2008, the foreign exchange reserve of China is increased from nearly 145 billion dollars to nearly 2,000 billion dollars. This facilitates China's resisting the financial storm attacked suddenly.

China's present situation, they claim it is the socialism with chainese characteristics; But at the same time, how can can not call the capitalism of the distinct Chinese characteristics? !

In the past 20 years, China's Mainland has made people's achievement with deep impression of making: In our country, it keeps the pace of two -figure number of economy increasing throughout the year, in the world, it has adopted a kind of practical foreign policy, avoids confronting with each other with U.S.A., acquisition prestige and influence that but can be orderly. However, because of the global economic crisis, China's Mainland has met trouble. The export of China drops suddenly, ten millions of rural workers have lost the job, millions of graduates can not find the employment opportunity, the industrial excess production capacity has become the threat of deflation, the for a time hot real estate trade has already fallen bloody nose and swollen facely too. China economy walk haltingly unstable this year, bring testing difficultly most unprecedented to flexibility that the party in power shows.

Economic growth rate about to drop from 11% in the past few years to 7% (World Bank to to expect, it reduces to be 6.5% newly 2009 such as China, the government proposes protecting 8% ),The serious decline in economy will bring the enormous test to China. Every year, the Chinese labour market increases 10 million people newly, among them most persons left the countryside, rural worker to the urban areas to look for the employment opportunity. The increase in GDP of a percentage point can probably be turned into 1 million new working opportunities in one year, need to mean China this guarantee annual GDP increase 10% at least, in order to absorb, digest, lose pour into every year work motive force in a large amount; But the global economic crisis has no sign finished at all. How long the lasting depression it will be economy of China? What is the impact on politics in the country of stagnation? A lot of people pay close attention to these questions.

The economic prosperity which the government keeps continuously " The successful one " Let the middle class no longer care about politics. But economic low growth, may impel unemployed rural worker and graduate to vent on their discontent through riot and protest, will aggravate the social turbulence too. And long-term economy stay cool, can let middle class that increase day by day, care desire in politics strengthen even not fierce.

Moreover for a long time, far away from industrial worker and vital interests of peasant more and more already to the rich profit many economic policy, so even if in the times of the recent economic prosperity, the riot takes place frequently in the basic unit. Riot, strike, demonstrating and protesting collectively there were 90,000 ones that got up more of the report of every year. These unstable situations will only be aggravated in financial difficulties period. If economy stagnates, urban middle class, graduate baffled and unemployed rural worker, these colonies can be jointed in reality together and formed a strong alliance, the trouble of the social stability, bigger.

However, this kind of situation will not take place. Such revolutionary imagination scene has neglected two pieces of key strength that can prevent the social stability: The coming as a hard blow at the ability and united ability to elite's stratum of authority system. Zimbabwe, Korea, the situations of Cuba and Burma prove, even face enormous economy and fail, can't shake the foundation ruled either. Deal with hundreds and thousands of riot and protest every year, let Chinese law enforcement agency in control and it disperses to be experienced at the crowd.

But people still keep suspecting such obvious harmonious situation justifiedly. Late former the General Secretary Hu Yaobang's brain truster member, former Wujiang of Wujiang of chief of the office of theory of Party School of the CPC Central Committee think, the so-called one " China's mode " The problem exists too. Because the democracy to the social, cultural and economic development characteristic suitable for one's own big country on the premise of keeping domestic and steady of China, there is no clear perspective long-term plan to come out. On the contrary, still hear some incongruous noises frequently. In addition, the trend that the gap between rich and poor widens has not been contained effectively yet, it cause certain economy and the society uneven that the reform is uncomplete, this makes China face the severe test in this global economic crisis, and difficult to be righteous alone in a community where the general moral tone is low. He thinks, nowadays it can be defeated that China has already got any outside hostile force of having strongly, " Taiwan independence " , the independence of Tibet , " dash for ward in the east " , the cult is not all enough to fear; Ones that can only defeat the Communist Party of China and Chinese Government, only come from the internal corruption.

Moreover, China has a strong one now, capable and resolute leader, but their experience is very similar, go into politics and go through on the whole similarly. On leading ability, foresight and achievements made represented, nobody can be obviously higher than other people like that like Deng Xiaoping. This means, anyone is unable to surmount others' influence and decision strength. Up until now, it is a kind of enormous " supports " to really congeal and shut a steady one of regime The system, this system utilizes the huge financial resources that long-term economic growth brings in order to equilibrate domestic each side's interests, meet different interest groups' demands, bribe the support of the social elite's stratum of China. The system expenses of this patronage is huge - -Manage the expenses and consume 20% of the budgets of Chinese Government alone. Investment in fixed assets that more than 40% gross domestic product comes from factory and warehouse - -The contribution that this field is dominate and full of cultivating people's good will by the country is offered.

In other words, the obedience of nonideological management elite inside in China, because has paid them all expenses. However, when financial difficulties make these letters hands give alms and is ended, support and loyalty of these elites can't considered to be natural again. It is the social to be precise in any of Britain and Chinese with or dispute,will have caused by country confusion to force machine, make its control society unstable ability of factor reduce, result in, form unstable activity grow in intensity vicious circle.

However, the coming to attack of economic crisis, the domestic economy is slowed down continuously, the rural worker and employment question of university students are outstanding, the society is discontented to go up day by day, though though the destabilizing factors of the basic unit and ground floor would not go so far as to shake regime, but it is enough to make quite a few of people in the system think and promote the reform of the political system, in order to adapt to people's demand. So, the person in power can succeed in putting out when the crisis just presented the symptom, some that even officers present inside is nervous, can dissolve in time too.

Until recently, most Chinese question observers all think, China's Mainland is more and more elastric with toughness. Through studying and suiting, the largest one in this world, having parties in power of a authority most, become rich in political intelligence and political skill, and is good at overcoming the difficulty, may jeopardize ruling and social turmoil one to lose those one to can often dissolve " Threaten " .

Certainly, Chavez can not find out about historical background and reality of China seriously and deeply as far back as ten thousand li, the ground is like Poul and Butt simply, greatly worship the behavior under the economic crisis state of China, guide, think socialist bright lamp, " model of development " . He does not know, this model, he can not learn absolutely.

Meanwhile, Chavez's socialism, still stay in the Chinese socialist era of the lifelong system of the mess, people's commune, individual right. And described above, popular 30 years and proved to be the backward, socialism violating the human nature and law of social development in China; It is a lot Chinese painful memory.

Though, China passes the reform and opening-up of 30 years, economic construction got the development of leap, but but the lagging of the political system makes China eat the consequence of the bitterness; Government and the people are reviewing and seeking to solve the route conscientiously. China once propagated ideology too, had carried on a large amount of nonreimbursable assistance to Asia, Africa and Latin America, even tie the belt tight, too hungry by oneself; But what is brought? Once it is not good to aid with gold, set up horses and turn hostile suddenly, even draw sword in opposite directions. Life and property that the most typical example is Vietnam, and China's enormous cost help, just make its north and south unify, economy resume; But kill my clansman, take my territory at once after the brief period of enthusiasm. I to launch a counterattack in self-defense, the logistics of Vietnam was supported and totally come from my previous aid goods and materials will it be will it be the end the seventies last century. And Hou at that time, I sacrifice pension of soldier, enough for one value of pig. So far, Vietnam is still forcibly occupying some coastal areas and territorial seas in our country.

So, Chavez's slogan, as to the author, it is painful and repugnant that can only arouse.

Chavez still can only let authors appreciate, is that his lofty tone is against USA, but the author is against USA, detest its world domination but not its democracy, freedom, human rights, equal outstanding values. And Chavez's regime, is acting counter to democracy, freedom, human rights, equal human values, though all right if the same a short time such as the former Soviet Union have some positive result, can only sink, complete for second Korea finally. If does not realize Chavez's regime is transient and lagged behind, we would suffer losses.

Certainly, there is abundant petroleum in Venezuela, Chavez has boasted shamelessly to promise to support oil for 200 years for China too. But this kind of boast, people who have the experience slightly are all disapproving. So, China can only do, supply more petroleum suitable of price while making him in power; As for the others, are all trifling matters.

There is not a dispute in all island sovereignty of Nansha of China Don't share

In in country foreign minister Yang Jiechi visit America it make preparation for Sino-America summit meetings on the on the eve of, American side fries and helps to monitor the ship suddenly and is enclosed the thing stopped up by five ships of Chinese side. How on earth to understand this? Is it Chinese side that test Palestinian horse's government or Palestinian horse's government beats in Beijing? And the American ship deepen the south sea of China, what is there to attempt? Each side explain cloud cloud, all the time just like expect this ' an ordinary incident ', foreign minister with Sheila girl Yang laugh at mouth chant, meet reporter, prove China and the United States put financial overall situation of tsunami first at present, other disputes will not influence two countries to lead the world to go out of the economic low ebb hand in hand.



The dispute of the South China Sea Islands continues burning, Philippine president A Luo if the lady protests regardless of Beijing, sign the base-line law of territorial waters, put island of inherent territorial Huangyan of China even peaceful island which Taiwan control under, China can't give the impression of weakness either naturally, sends biggest fishing policy ship of the half a military to the South China Sea and makes an inspection tour, declare the sovereignty. Under situation this, have contacts with this monitoring ship of U.S.A., natural thing very. U.S.A. this ship monitor ship, spy ship of USN in fact, main task to track submarine of sea floor. U.S.A. media report, there is four such monitoring ship in USN, two cruise in the Atlantic Ocean, mainly deal with the nuclear-powered submarine of Russia, but two in the Pacific Ocean, strategic nuclear-powered submarine of China is the main goal, especially spreading out of China and building the largest strategic nuclear-powered submarine base in Hainan Island, and the Chinese future aircraft carrier fights on one group of bases, may be set up in Sanya. So, it is not strange at all that the American army monitors the friction of the ship and Chinese fishing policy ship.



At present, the South China Sea dispute disadvantageous to China, one is internationalization, because the United Nations requires various countries to refer to the base-line of territorial waters during May, dispute of South China Sea Islands might transfer to the United Nations arbitrate, so, China might in the isolated state, China wants the singles to fight alone, deal with the all ASEAN members, and will have U.S.A. to support behind them. Another unfavorable respect, is that China and relevant disputes country of Association of South-east Asian Nations conclude ' Rules of Conduct of the South China Sea ', position that China approve twist, relevant dispute country with ' suspend dispute ' as the signboard, walk ' the fact is captured, the fact is controlled, develop independently ' real. China have 40 more than islands and reefs countries ' the fact is captured ' such as Vietnam, Philippine, Malaysia, Brunei,etc. in the South China Sea, Vietnam explores and exploits the petroleum in the relevant sea area, there is harvest of 8 million tons every year.



I think Chinese side put forward principle, really have a necessity re-recognized and adjusted. This policy, is a principle of the problem of Diaoyu Island of treatment which Deng Xiaoping puts forward initially. The dispute which Deng Xiaoping spoke at that time but dispute with sovereign right. In present the Eight Character principle of the South China Sea, continue to use over the principle that Deng Xiaoping deals with the problem of Diaoyu Island naturally. I imagine the Eight Character policy withdraw ' suspends dispute ', but not ' lay the dispute with sovereign right aside ', have done a lot of thinking, because if mention ' lay the dispute with sovereign right aside ', include China's approving this is a question with dispute with sovereign right.



In fact, there is sizable difference on the question of the South China Sea and Diaoyu Island question. Diaoyu Island and relevant sea area, Qing Government lose the battle, " Treaty of Shimonoseki " three capture month sign, in size 1895 the Sino-Japanese War of 1894-1895. " the Cairo Declaration " and " Potsdam Proclamation " all stipulate Japan must be returned to suffer a defeat to China. But in 1951, the America and Japan signed" the contract of San Francisco ", handed over to U.S.A. it to deposit. The Japan and U.S.A. signed" returned an protocol to Okinawa " in 1971, the row returned on Diaoyu Island and sea area. What deserves to be mentioned is, Roosevelt wanted to return Okinawa i.e. Ryukyu to China that year, but Chiang Kai-shek hesitates and does not dare to want repeatedly. Both object to Japan of Diaoyu Island ' return ' in Beijing and Taibei. Look from aspect of international law, really there is ' the dispute with sovereign right ' on Diaoyu Island.



However, there is no such a question in the South China Sea Islands, it was in the seventies that the all ASEAN members captured stealthily while hitting Chinese leather turmoil. So, it approve dispute it have with sovereign right definitely China,and ' whether suspend dispute, develop jointly ' let alone not interpret as ' sovereignty share '.