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3.18.2009

31 of Brookings' life: " intensive organization " Military exercises and Russia's strategic intention

The Common Wealth of Independent States that has just claimed to set up at the beginning of February this year " The tissue rapid response force of collective treaty " ( The Collective Security Treaty Organization' s rapid-reaction force) ,Announce formally this Tuesday, will hold the extensive military exercises in Kazakhstan of member state in September of this year, in order to examine the army in fight ability that is should at being to terrorism activity or regional military conflict. According to the Russian media report, this news was announced in Moscow on the same day by the long subject of Russian secretary of defence Shel.

The Common Wealth of Independent States " The collective treaty is organized " (are abbreviate as " The intensive organization " )Joined a regional international organization under the leadership of Russia mainly that the republic make up by seven the former Soviet Union. Member states include: Russia, Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kirghiz Republic are smooth with Tajikistan. " intensive organization " It is as far back as the end of 1991 of last century after the Soviet Union disintegrates, the former Soviet Union joins the republic and considers it in the Common Wealth of Independent States, it is necessary to disintegrate in the Soviet Union in the last period of relatively unstable period, extend and strengthen a new developing cooperation between defence and security between each other of independent state, in order to stabilize the regional safety, and in respect each other, equal principle, solve the former Soviet Union era leave over military installations and frontier area safe organization that problem establish that come down progressively. Its organizational principle followed together, sign and pass in 1992? The the Common Wealth of Independent States collective security treaty? .

" intensive organization " Not similar " NATO " Such a military bloc, the main purpose at the beginning of establishment, attempt to solve the politics inside the Common Wealth of Independent States, military and frontier problem, non-military alliance, none belongs to the union army of this tissue too. " rapid response force of intensive organization " It is February 4 this year the head of every member state is newly formed after signing the agreement in Moscow. According to this agreement, the command post of this army is set up in Russia for ever, every member state offers one to the rapid response force " Fight in the unit specially " ,Commander-in-chieves are served as in turn by member states. However, consider Uzbekistan only promises to undertake some tasks, and to other tasks, including participation succour promptly, so this army military unit in Uzbekistan make other arrangements. The main task of the rapid response force includes: Attack the terrorism force, attack the transnational trafficking in narcotics and criminal activity, should be to the outside invasion taking action and regional military conflict happening suddenly, and deal with various natural calamity and humanity crisis. However, for belonging to the question of a member's domestic policy, the rapid response force refuses to intervene. According to common understandings reached while establishing, " security council of intensive organization " Hold it during the meeting in Moscow in June of this year, scale, establishment of the rapid response force formally, in coordination with the guiding principle and all military activity details, discuss.

" intensive organization " Establish the rapid response force and claim to hold the extensive military exercises in a short period of time, initiate external world vs. the Common Wealth of Independent States organization headed by Russia, thinking of the strategic overall arrangement again under the severe situation that large Central Asia appears newly, how Shanghai Co-operation Organization is under the regional international organization function and member's constantly eclipsed situation too, continue giving play to the role of there should be ing, has put forward the serious subject.

From the Afghan situation after reversing in 07, the delicate change has appeared in the security situation in Central Asia. Russia sets about the overall arrangement for one's own security interests, considers out of three respects strategy at least: First of all, security and stability to large Central Asia of Afghanistan are a destabilizing factor all the time, and will probably become the turbulent source. Russia never hopes to see it from east, western pincer attack. Israel and U.S.A. led " NATO " Multinational army, fall into the stage in a dilemma in Afghanistan. Taliban force stages a comeback, on one hand explain " NATO " Moving towards failing on the strategy and tactics, on the other hand prove too, U.S.A. attempts to pursue the west " democracy " in Central Asia ,By no means easy too. Afghan situation worsen, let surrounding countries, Tajikistan, Kirghiz Republic smooth, China and Uzbekistan,etc. at first, greatly disturbed. This is mainly because these national security of country is received for a long time " Three gangs of forces " Threat,and "three gang force " Once find in Afghanistan and Pakistan " Shelter the paradise safely " ,Will develop and wait for an opportunity to get to the neighbouring country and engaged in subverting and destroying taking action. So, no matter " intensive organization " " have and organize jointly " ,In tight to watch Afghan development and change of situation attentively, expect new " Afghanistan - Pakistan " of government, horse of Palestinian, too Tactics, can make the effect.

Secondly, geopolitics of Central Asia and safe problem of energy, has been what Russia cares about very much all the time. Though in at present's view, Central Asia will not appear in the other big countries and garrison in this area and challenge the Russian situation in a short time very much, on the contrary, what we have already seen is how U.S.A. has been " ejected " recently Kirghiz Republic is smooth, however, " Georgia's military conflict " of last August And is threatening the security of Russia constantly " NATO expands strategy eastward " ,Let Russia feel anxious deeply from two respects: On one hand come from in fact anxiety of the control of the sphere of influence. In the former Soviet Union era, Soviet Union dare, confront with directness of the west, store in " at odds with the community or the leadership " The question, the western countries are unable to be subordinated to the original Russian sphere of influence, come as a hard blow at the Soviet Union, let alone disintegrate the Soviet Union. But the situation has already differed widely now. Not only the alliance joined NATO before some, even Georgia, Ukraine,etc. dared to challenge to Russia directly. Even compare to Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan like this " Loyal and hard" Alliance country,it draw close the west too year by year, and join by " NATO " first "cooperative partner country plan " . Especially Kazakhstan, also proposed " walking on the western way in an all-round way " last year Run a country let idea policy, this it feel deeply defeat Russia. Another worry is from new round " Energy of large Central Asia plays chess " . While playing chess in this one, China will become the protagonist, and soaking constantly on energy of Central Asia of the west gradually, it is possible during the following ten years or longer time, constitute new threat to Russia's benefit. So, Russia must set about disposing the corresponding control policy and strong means related to it as soon as possible, in order to while change in situation, can reply in time, effectively.

Finally, stabilize ally's relation, build the republic of the alliance and go bankrupt to the west progressively before reducing even preventing from, safeguard state sovereignty and every other key interests to Russia, have extremely important influence. In the past, the Common Wealth of Independent States fails to fully function, every member state has already distrusted Russia, but not unable to get rid of each other completely. This is mainly that a Russian self problem is in heaps, the economic strength is unable to meet other member states' demands, so have to maintain the symbolic one each other reluctantly " Alliance's relation " . But different now. After Moscow had been in Afghan war at last for 7 years --More particularly, it is in " Georgia's conflict " After happening --Finding must regenerate the Common Wealth of Independent States, regenerate the opportunity that the big country of Russia controls the capability, this Russia raised the expenses of national defence by a wide margin, overall newer Armed Forces disposed the plan to 2011 from the end of last year, and set up " The intensive organization " The rapid response force waits for concretely in the action, can catch a glimpse of. The one that is worth paying special attention to is, Russian president Medway and Jeff points out on the 17th: "here prop up army ( Refer to the rapid response force) Should can rely on we, can overcome army of thorny problem the most any, including terrorism molecule and military threat. " He still emphasizes, the rapid response force " should get good organization and outfit, in order to contend various threats (the force should be well-organized and equipped to counter a variety of threats) " ,Have put forward clear construction requirement and goal for this army.

" intensive organization " Establish the rapid response force to put forward the new subject too as the future development of Shanghai Co-operation Organization. This mainly reflects it not merely " The intensive organization " The member states of the rapid response force, with " have organizing jointly " Member states are repeated, and two pieces of military exercises of organization may overlap or arrange the conflict. In addition, " have and organize jointly " There is no one's own military body, but " intensive organization " It is to go first to establish the rapid response force, it is " had and organized jointly " that this lets There are some member states " Attending to anything else has no skill" Helplessness. Though " have and organize jointly " Have already turned focal point to regional economy, cultural construction in the past two years, but attack " three gangs of forces " All the time " Have and organize jointly " Key for task, this too with " intensive to organize " Goal compatible. So, OK with " intensive organization " Strengthen and divide the work cooperation, strengthen mutual trust to interflow, is " overlapping " And then, how to avoid " substitute " ,It will be the groundwork that faces in the future.

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