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3.18.2009

China takes a stand toughly, why is Philippine " soft " Come down?

According to media, China fishing policy most heavy to enforce the law ship 311 ship on March 17 political, military in the center to reach the Xisha Islands - -Island of Yongxing. 311 ships of fishing policy will carry on fishing policy management and supervision work to the area of Xisha. This means too 311 ships begin to fulfil its mission formally, cruise and manage to the exclusive economic zone; To Xisha, Nansha, hit the sand to protect fishing to convoy; Jointly supervise to Beibu Bay and the rescue work of the accident happens suddenly to fishery.

Since Philippine took the lead in provoking each side's dispute on the question of the South China Sea, Philippine government and the military has been all maintaining a tough attitude to China all the time. But as China changes and only protests the normality not taking action on the question of the South China Sea in the past, tough statement China can not retrogress, even not hesitate to use the military force to maintain the rights and interests in the South China Sea of China in the South China Sea issue unusually, and the one that take measures to deal with China and the United States in succession " Have no time No. " Incident, send fishing policy enforce the law ship reach the South China Sea rights and interests to maintain China.

China has hit a set of swift and fierce ones this time " The combination blow " ,Make Philippine face enormous pressure on question of the South China Sea, how to tackle the behavior of China, have produced different sounds inside Philippine:

Yesterday, the presidential palace horse of Philippine drew Kannan palace and said, took a stand on the question of the South China Sea toughly in the face of China, Philippine may seek help to traditional military ally's U.S.A. and other ASEAN countries.

However, the Congressmen of Philippine Senate and House of Representatives all urge Arroyo government to utilize all diplomatic channels to solve with the Chinese dispute on some island problems in the Nansha Islands, prevent the conflict from further upgrading.

Fee, commander-in-chief of navy of Philippine, guide south dagger-axe Les claim policy ship, fishing of China, go the South China Sea whether any propose with sovereign right normal activity of country of requirement to the Nansha Islands, offer logistic support to its people in this area. China is our ally. In fact, we should become friends with all countries.

Philippine secretary of defence Gilbert and Teodoro said either at yesterday, did not really think this was that one was threatened greatly, he thinks he should pass Ministry of Foreign Affairs, under the guidance of national security advisor, deal with this incident through the diplomatic procedure.

Through the statement of each side's force inside the above-mentioned Philippine, we can find, in what a tough behavior of tackling China, Philippine of various fields in Philippine has produced difference. Then why clamour for the previous period unitedly all the time tough to China, even claim to reach the attitude of the last Philippine each side of a single soldier for the fight of the South China Sea suddenly " Come down softly " The woolen cloth?

First of all, the purpose that Philippine provokes the dispute of the South China Sea achieves, knows when best to leave off! Philippine mainly legalizes for some the Nansha Islands that makes Philippine occupy and island of Huangyan in the South China Sea dispute this time, i.e. Philippine so-called " base-line law of territorial waters " ,Attempt through referring this bill to the United Nations in order to achieve the legal and to occupy the South China Sea goal. So far as at present, Philippine has already basically finished this task, has already passed this bill, president Arroyo has already signed the order to validate it. We can say, Philippine provokes purpose of the dispute of the South China Sea to already achieve this time, so how to relax and become primary problem with the Chinese tense situation day by day. So, Philippine " knows when best to leave off " ,Begin to put down posture and China to relax on the premise of already reaching the goal.

Secondly, the tough posture on the question of the South China Sea of China, force Philippine to begin the retraction. In the South China Sea dispute this time, the unwise place of Philippine is not to consider the Chinese actual conditions, offer some ideas blindly. Philippine is based on past experience, the possibility thinking China very great is yearning for a few words of often the same protest and getting over, have thought the major issue little, minor matter in order to certainly will safeguard the stability situation during two Conferences of Chinese Government. Have never expected that in this case evoked the strong response of Chinese people, the strong will of the people tide forces the government to have to adopt the tough posture to deal with the problem of the South China Sea too. Especially China treats U.S.A. toughly " Have no time No. " Incident, make Philippine see China true attitude, for the direct conflict take place with China, Philippine have to begin the retraction, begins to discuss " Sino-Philippines friendship " View.

Moreover, Philippine differs greatly with China on military strength, once China and Philippines make war because of the question of the South China Sea, Philippine undoubtedly fails. Especially navy of Philippine capability small and weak, collapse at the first blow at all. And U.S.A. involvement of military strength that Philippine expect, " have no time No. " with China and the United States too The statement of the Palestinian horse of US President of China turns into visionary hope. Spread China dispose new-type submarine increase worry of Philippine especially in the South China Sea recently. Issue and China make war this frank to afraid, do one's utmost thing that prevent from too most Philippine in the South China Sea.

In view of this, Philippine has to speak of " friendly theories of China and Philippines " again ,Want to relax with China. As to this, we have sober understanding too, can't just give up the benefit in the South China Sea of China according to several friendly words and phrases of Philippine only. China must follow up a victory with hot pursuit, maximum maintenance rights and interests of China, can't always follow other countries to transfer to the circle, China want, must take passive to voluntarily, should sell sell, maintain State sovereignty and territorial integrity wholeheartedly.

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