March 22 electricity in Caracas of www.people.com.cn, " you are good that Venezuela president Chavez passes the 328th issue today, the president! " The program shows, China is a model of development, shout " long live great China " . Chavez broadcast directly to committee national television broadcasting tile that China undertake the construction of add railway starting ceremony make not described above to say then in scene. This news, " the national sense of pride " that it is estimated that will let The personage is extremely excited.
But Chavez also says, China has accumulated abundant experience in railway construction, China build the railway in Venezuela not only cooperation, help Venezuela to build railway construction goods and materials and locomotive, transfer relevant technology, it is the sincere cooperation. It is reported, the tile which China undertakes the construction of is added by 468 kilometers of total length of the railway then, will transport 9,900 million tons of goods every year in the two-way electric railway, transport 5,800,000 passengers. Will make important contribution for committee's Bolivar's socialist construction, food security. This railway would be run formally in 2012. Venezuela president Chavez declares in all solemnity on the 22nd, even Orgnaization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) Crude oil price fall until barrels every can have made revenue and expenditures financial unable to last equilibrium 55 dollar, Venezuela too, show that will seek financing from China actively.
Reuter claims, raise a large amount of fund at the political ally's place which can be made again in Venezuela - especially from China's financing, China lends a huge sum of money of 8 billion dollars of Venezuela to in one year of this year alone. Rodriguez, finance minister of Venezuela says on March 21, the government will continue expanding the financing source, hint Venezuela plans to raise to 5,600 million dollars from allies such as China or Russia,etc. while making the budget of 2009. Because the financial crisis influenced the oil price to slump, once there are analysts of Wall Street that thought because the government of Venezuela spent money being always wasteful before this, the oil price may cause the government and present the financial deficit while dropping.
Originally, Venezuela president Chavez shouted " long live great China " Behind, China material incentive. The low-priced one is shouted for a moment, the one that upset author is, Chinese ordinary people's money earned by hard toil, the person made policy fills in the bottomless pit of Chavez's regime continually. A few words low-priced shouting of Chavez, bring the ceaselessly gold and silver.
March 19, Lee Kuan Yew of Singapore national university public president of policy institute base Xiao Ma Herb in Britain " Financial Times " Qintar Publish article to entitled as " Asia capitalism leave western enlightenment ", economic performance to think China, so-called ones that are sorted out by ideology exactly" The capitalism " ,Just this kind of capitalism has special of Asia.
China remembers clearly to the disaster that socialist planned economy brings in Mao Zedong Times. Since 1979, China drew advantage from free market of the capitalism a lot: Improvement, effective use of national resource, considerable growth of wealth of the labor productivity, several hundred million people have got rid of the penniless state. Let us come to review history from the Chinese visual angle. Deng Xiaoping's reform and opening-up, make the Chinese people's life get unprecedented improvement.
But China implements the market economy time, there is a deep-rooted idea: Keep Du Hui steady in order. So, she does not remove the supervision of the financial market, it is extremely important that think instinctively the government supervises. Chinese leader realizes soberly, U.S.A. creates derived products ceaselessly but is putting up the plans or hopes that are unlikely to be realized. Zhu germanium advisor Gao Xiqing of base, former premier of Chinese, say if you think every financial derived product alone in 2000, they are all meaningful. But add up nothing is not; They are all rubbish, for deceiving people.
Chinese have gone through too much turbulence times, realize the importance of providing for a rainy day deeply, like the deposit, feel inconceivable about the life style that Americans are overdrawing constantly. They must establish one's own security mechanism and deal with the economic recession, so, after Asian financial storm, they accumulate 10 -year long foreign exchange reserve at the beginning; From the end of 1998 to the end of 2008, the foreign exchange reserve of China is increased from nearly 145 billion dollars to nearly 2,000 billion dollars. This facilitates China's resisting the financial storm attacked suddenly.
China's present situation, they claim it is the socialism with chainese characteristics; But at the same time, how can can not call the capitalism of the distinct Chinese characteristics? !
In the past 20 years, China's Mainland has made people's achievement with deep impression of making: In our country, it keeps the pace of two -figure number of economy increasing throughout the year, in the world, it has adopted a kind of practical foreign policy, avoids confronting with each other with U.S.A., acquisition prestige and influence that but can be orderly. However, because of the global economic crisis, China's Mainland has met trouble. The export of China drops suddenly, ten millions of rural workers have lost the job, millions of graduates can not find the employment opportunity, the industrial excess production capacity has become the threat of deflation, the for a time hot real estate trade has already fallen bloody nose and swollen facely too. China economy walk haltingly unstable this year, bring testing difficultly most unprecedented to flexibility that the party in power shows.
Economic growth rate about to drop from 11% in the past few years to 7% (World Bank to to expect, it reduces to be 6.5% newly 2009 such as China, the government proposes protecting 8% ),The serious decline in economy will bring the enormous test to China. Every year, the Chinese labour market increases 10 million people newly, among them most persons left the countryside, rural worker to the urban areas to look for the employment opportunity. The increase in GDP of a percentage point can probably be turned into 1 million new working opportunities in one year, need to mean China this guarantee annual GDP increase 10% at least, in order to absorb, digest, lose pour into every year work motive force in a large amount; But the global economic crisis has no sign finished at all. How long the lasting depression it will be economy of China? What is the impact on politics in the country of stagnation? A lot of people pay close attention to these questions.
The economic prosperity which the government keeps continuously " The successful one " Let the middle class no longer care about politics. But economic low growth, may impel unemployed rural worker and graduate to vent on their discontent through riot and protest, will aggravate the social turbulence too. And long-term economy stay cool, can let middle class that increase day by day, care desire in politics strengthen even not fierce.
Moreover for a long time, far away from industrial worker and vital interests of peasant more and more already to the rich profit many economic policy, so even if in the times of the recent economic prosperity, the riot takes place frequently in the basic unit. Riot, strike, demonstrating and protesting collectively there were 90,000 ones that got up more of the report of every year. These unstable situations will only be aggravated in financial difficulties period. If economy stagnates, urban middle class, graduate baffled and unemployed rural worker, these colonies can be jointed in reality together and formed a strong alliance, the trouble of the social stability, bigger.
However, this kind of situation will not take place. Such revolutionary imagination scene has neglected two pieces of key strength that can prevent the social stability: The coming as a hard blow at the ability and united ability to elite's stratum of authority system. Zimbabwe, Korea, the situations of Cuba and Burma prove, even face enormous economy and fail, can't shake the foundation ruled either. Deal with hundreds and thousands of riot and protest every year, let Chinese law enforcement agency in control and it disperses to be experienced at the crowd.
But people still keep suspecting such obvious harmonious situation justifiedly. Late former the General Secretary Hu Yaobang's brain truster member, former Wujiang of Wujiang of chief of the office of theory of Party School of the CPC Central Committee think, the so-called one " China's mode " The problem exists too. Because the democracy to the social, cultural and economic development characteristic suitable for one's own big country on the premise of keeping domestic and steady of China, there is no clear perspective long-term plan to come out. On the contrary, still hear some incongruous noises frequently. In addition, the trend that the gap between rich and poor widens has not been contained effectively yet, it cause certain economy and the society uneven that the reform is uncomplete, this makes China face the severe test in this global economic crisis, and difficult to be righteous alone in a community where the general moral tone is low. He thinks, nowadays it can be defeated that China has already got any outside hostile force of having strongly, " Taiwan independence " , the independence of Tibet , " dash for ward in the east " , the cult is not all enough to fear; Ones that can only defeat the Communist Party of China and Chinese Government, only come from the internal corruption.
Moreover, China has a strong one now, capable and resolute leader, but their experience is very similar, go into politics and go through on the whole similarly. On leading ability, foresight and achievements made represented, nobody can be obviously higher than other people like that like Deng Xiaoping. This means, anyone is unable to surmount others' influence and decision strength. Up until now, it is a kind of enormous " supports " to really congeal and shut a steady one of regime The system, this system utilizes the huge financial resources that long-term economic growth brings in order to equilibrate domestic each side's interests, meet different interest groups' demands, bribe the support of the social elite's stratum of China. The system expenses of this patronage is huge - -Manage the expenses and consume 20% of the budgets of Chinese Government alone. Investment in fixed assets that more than 40% gross domestic product comes from factory and warehouse - -The contribution that this field is dominate and full of cultivating people's good will by the country is offered.
In other words, the obedience of nonideological management elite inside in China, because has paid them all expenses. However, when financial difficulties make these letters hands give alms and is ended, support and loyalty of these elites can't considered to be natural again. It is the social to be precise in any of Britain and Chinese with or dispute,will have caused by country confusion to force machine, make its control society unstable ability of factor reduce, result in, form unstable activity grow in intensity vicious circle.
However, the coming to attack of economic crisis, the domestic economy is slowed down continuously, the rural worker and employment question of university students are outstanding, the society is discontented to go up day by day, though though the destabilizing factors of the basic unit and ground floor would not go so far as to shake regime, but it is enough to make quite a few of people in the system think and promote the reform of the political system, in order to adapt to people's demand. So, the person in power can succeed in putting out when the crisis just presented the symptom, some that even officers present inside is nervous, can dissolve in time too.
Until recently, most Chinese question observers all think, China's Mainland is more and more elastric with toughness. Through studying and suiting, the largest one in this world, having parties in power of a authority most, become rich in political intelligence and political skill, and is good at overcoming the difficulty, may jeopardize ruling and social turmoil one to lose those one to can often dissolve " Threaten " .
Certainly, Chavez can not find out about historical background and reality of China seriously and deeply as far back as ten thousand li, the ground is like Poul and Butt simply, greatly worship the behavior under the economic crisis state of China, guide, think socialist bright lamp, " model of development " . He does not know, this model, he can not learn absolutely.
Meanwhile, Chavez's socialism, still stay in the Chinese socialist era of the lifelong system of the mess, people's commune, individual right. And described above, popular 30 years and proved to be the backward, socialism violating the human nature and law of social development in China; It is a lot Chinese painful memory.
Though, China passes the reform and opening-up of 30 years, economic construction got the development of leap, but but the lagging of the political system makes China eat the consequence of the bitterness; Government and the people are reviewing and seeking to solve the route conscientiously. China once propagated ideology too, had carried on a large amount of nonreimbursable assistance to Asia, Africa and Latin America, even tie the belt tight, too hungry by oneself; But what is brought? Once it is not good to aid with gold, set up horses and turn hostile suddenly, even draw sword in opposite directions. Life and property that the most typical example is Vietnam, and China's enormous cost help, just make its north and south unify, economy resume; But kill my clansman, take my territory at once after the brief period of enthusiasm. I to launch a counterattack in self-defense, the logistics of Vietnam was supported and totally come from my previous aid goods and materials will it be will it be the end the seventies last century. And Hou at that time, I sacrifice pension of soldier, enough for one value of pig. So far, Vietnam is still forcibly occupying some coastal areas and territorial seas in our country.
So, Chavez's slogan, as to the author, it is painful and repugnant that can only arouse.
Chavez still can only let authors appreciate, is that his lofty tone is against USA, but the author is against USA, detest its world domination but not its democracy, freedom, human rights, equal outstanding values. And Chavez's regime, is acting counter to democracy, freedom, human rights, equal human values, though all right if the same a short time such as the former Soviet Union have some positive result, can only sink, complete for second Korea finally. If does not realize Chavez's regime is transient and lagged behind, we would suffer losses.
Certainly, there is abundant petroleum in Venezuela, Chavez has boasted shamelessly to promise to support oil for 200 years for China too. But this kind of boast, people who have the experience slightly are all disapproving. So, China can only do, supply more petroleum suitable of price while making him in power; As for the others, are all trifling matters.
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